【澳纽网编译】New Zealand’s housing bubble has burst after recording one of the world’s largest house price increases during the pandemic.
新西兰的房地产泡沫在（疫情）大流行期间创下世界上最大的房价上涨之一后破灭了。
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According to the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand, real inflation-adjusted national home values have collapsed to their pre-pandemic level.
根据新西兰房地产研究所的数据，经实际通胀调整后的全国房屋价值已跌至疫情前的水平。
CoreLogic has also recorded a 17.5% decline in national values from their post-pandemic peak, led by Wellington (-25.1%) and Auckland (-22.1%).
CoreLogic 的全国价值也从大流行后的峰值下降了 17.5%，其中惠灵顿 （-25.1%） 和奥克兰 （-22.1%） 居首。
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Recent high-frequency indicators suggest that New Zealand house prices could fall further, despite hefty interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank and vastly improving mortgage affordability.
最近的高频指标表明，尽管储备银行大幅降息并大大提高了抵押贷款负担能力，但新西兰房价可能会进一步下跌。
In January, Auckland’s largest real estate agency, Barfoot & Thompson, reported a sharp 5% decline in median home values, with average prices plunging by 11.2%.
一月份，奥克兰最大的房地产代理公司Barfoot & Thompson报告称，房价中位数大幅下降了5%，平均价格暴跌了11.2%。
This follows a substantial increase in for-sale listings on both a quarterly and annual basis.
在此之前，季度和年度的待售房源数量均大幅增加。
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The latest sales and listing results from Trade Me Property tell a similar story.
Trade Me Property 的最新销售和上市结果也讲述了类似的故事。
Residential listings on the portal hit a five-year high of 39,000 in January. This was up 17% compared to January 2024 and the most for the month of January in five years.
门户网站上的住宅房源在 1 月份创下 39,000 套的五年新高。与 2024 年 1 月相比，这增长了 17%，是五年来 1 月份的最高水平。
The Wellington region led the annual increase in listings (up 28%), while Canterbury (up 23%) and Auckland (up 17%) also recorded hefty increases.
惠灵顿地区的房源同比增长（增长 28%）领先，而坎特伯雷（增长 23%）和奥克兰（增长 17%）也录得大幅增长。
“It seems that a lot of vendors have come back from the break and are ready to make a move in 2025, which is great news for buyers, who now have more properties and more choice”,Trade Me Property Customer Director Gavin Lloyd said.
“似乎很多卖家已经从假期中回来，并准备在 2025 年采取行动，这对买家来说是个好消息，他们现在拥有更多的房产和更多的选择”，Trade Me Property 客户总监 Gavin Lloyd 说。
Asking prices also continued to decline.
要价也继续下降。
The national average asking price on Trade Me Property was $842,900 in January, down 0.8% from December last year.
1 月份 Trade Me Property 的全国平均要价为 842,900 纽币，比去年 12 月下降 0.8%。
The combination of rising listings in an already oversupplied market and lower asking prices suggests that rate cuts have failed to stimulate demand.
在已经供过于求的市场中，挂牌房源数量增加和要价下降的结合表明，降息未能刺激需求。
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The downturn in property is also being assisted by the sharp slowing of net overseas migration, led by the exodus of New Zealand citizens, as well as the worsening of the labour market.
新西兰公民外流导致净海外移民急剧放缓，以及劳动力市场的恶化也助长了房地产的低迷。
After a period of housing insanity during the pandemic, rationality has returned.
在大流行期间经历了一段时间的住房疯狂之后，理性又回来了。
来源：MACROBUSINESS
About the author 作者简介
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
Leith van Onselen 是 MB Fund 和 MB Super 的首席经济学家。他还是 MacroBusiness 的联合创始人。Leith 之前曾在澳大利亚财政部、维多利亚州财政部和高盛工作。
(即时多来源) 新西兰英语新闻 New Zealand English News
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