(双语)OCR决定:储备银行将官方现金利率下调至5.25%

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题图:Photo: RNZ 照片:RNZ

The Reserve Bank has cut the official cash rate by 25 basis points – the first reduction in more than four years.
【澳纽网编译】澳大利亚储备银行已将官方现金利率下调了25个基点,这是四年多来的首次下调。

The central bank said price pressures were cooling and expected annual inflation to fall back to its 1 to 3 percent target band in the September quarter.
央行表示,价格压力正在降温,预计年通胀率将在9月季度回落至1%至3%的目标区间。

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Updated forecasts showed the cash rate falling to 4.9 percent by the end of the year – opening up the possibility for cuts in October and November.
最新预测显示,到今年年底,现金利率将降至4.9%,这为10月和11月降息提供了可能性。

Before Wednesday’s decision, financial markets had at one stage priced in a 75 percent chance of a 25 basis point rate cut, while economists were slightly tilted towards rates being held.
在周三的决定之前,金融市场曾一度消化了降息25个基点的可能性为75%,而经济学家则略微倾向于维持利率不变。

In the statement, the RBNZ said consumer price inflation was easing.
新西兰联储在声明中表示,消费者价格通胀正在缓解。

“Services inflation remains elevated but is also expected to continue to decline, both at home and abroad, in line with increased spare economic capacity,” it said.
“服务业通胀仍然居高不下,但预计国内外服务业通胀将继续下降,这与闲置经济能力的增加相一致,”它说。

“Consumer price inflation in New Zealand is expected to remain near the target mid-point over the foreseeable future.”
“在可预见的未来,新西兰的消费者价格通胀预计将保持在目标中点附近。”

The New Zealand dollar fell by about a third of a cent following the announcement to 60.4 US cents.
消息公布后,新西兰元下跌约三分之一美分,至60.4美分。

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The RBNZ said the pace of future rate cuts would depend on the monetary policy committee’s confidence that pricing behaviour was consistent with a low inflation environment, and inflation expectations anchored around the 2 percent target.
新西兰联储表示,未来降息的步伐将取决于货币政策委员会的信心,即定价行为与低通胀环境相一致,以及通胀预期锚定在2%的目标附近。

In the immediate aftermath of the rate cut, Kiwibank reduced various lending and deposit rates.
降息后,Kiwibank立即降低了各种贷款和存款利率。

Notably, Kiwibank’s variable term loan was also reduced by 25 basis points.
值得注意的是,Kiwibank的可变期限贷款也减少了25个基点。

ASB also reduced all interest rates across its fixed and floating lending rates by 25 basis points.
ASB还将固定和浮动贷款利率的所有利率下调了25个基点。

ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley, who had earlier picked a rate cut, said the RBNZ appeared to be comfortable it could cut rates and keep inflation under control.
ASB首席经济学家尼克·塔夫利(Nick Tuffley)早些时候选择了降息,他表示,新西兰联储似乎对降息并控制通胀感到满意。

“We expect the RBNZ will continue steadily cutting the OCR by 25bp [basis points] in consecutive meetings, with the next cut in October,” he said.
“我们预计新西兰联储将继续在连续会议上稳步下调OCR 25个基点,下一次降息将在10月进行,”他说。

“The path from here will be data dependent, as it always is. The speed at which inflation falls relative to RBNZ’s current forecasts will be important. If inflation pressures evaporate faster than expected, the RBNZ may need to hasten the return to a more neutral setting of around 3.25 percent.”
“从这里开始的路径将一如既往地依赖于数据。相对于新西兰联储目前的预测,通胀下降的速度将很重要。如果通胀压力的消解速度快于预期,新西兰联储可能需要加快将利率恢复到3.25%左右的更中性水平。

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ANZ also cut its home loan rates by 10 basis points to 8.39 percent following a 15 basis point drop at the end of July.
澳新银行还将住房贷款利率下调10个基点至8.39%,此前7月底已下调15个基点。

Wholesale interest rates have been falling recently as financial markets surmised the rate might fall for the first time since March 2020.
批发利率最近一直在下降,因为金融市场猜测利率可能自 2020 年 3 月以来首次下降。

The Reserve Bank started increasing the cash rate in late 2021 in response to high inflation, with the OCR reaching its current peak of 5.5 percent in May last year.
为应对高通胀,储备银行于 2021 年底开始提高现金利率,OCR 在去年 5 月达到目前的 5.5% 峰值

However, in recent months, economic data shows inflation slowing, unemployment rising and economic growth stalling.
然而,近几个月来,经济数据显示通胀放缓,失业率上升,经济增长停滞不前。

来源:RNZ

分类: 澳纽资讯

(即时多来源) 新西兰英语新闻 New Zealand English News

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