(23日)新西兰Delta爆发:社区新增15例,内含疫情简报会中英直播内容

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There are 15 new cases in the community, all are in Auckland.
社区新增15例,均在奥克兰。

There are 15 new cases in the community, all are in Auckland.

Here are today’s Covid-19 numbers:
以下是今天的 Covid-19 数字:
* 15 new cases in Auckland
* 奥克兰新增 15 例
* 3 are unlinked, 2 are contacts of cases, 10 are household contacts
* 3个未关联,2个病例接触者,10个家庭接触者
* The outbreak has grown to 1123
* 疫情已发展到1123个病例
* 844 in Auckland and 17 in Wellington have recovered
* 奥克兰 844 人,惠灵顿 17 人已康复
* 10 of yesterday’s cases were infectious in the community
*昨天的病例中有 10 例在社区中具有传染性
* 15 cases in hospital, three of them in ICU
* 15例住院,其中3例在ICU
* 1137 contacts being actively managed

* 1137 个接触者被主动管理


PM Jacinda Ardern & Dr Ashley Bloomfield give Covid-19 update

There are 15 new cases in the community, all are in Auckland. There are now 1123 cases in this outbreak – 861 have now recovered.
社区新增15例,均在奥克兰。 在这次疫情中,现在有 1123 例病例 – 861 例现已康复。

There are 2 new cases in MIQ.

MIQ有2个新病例。

Three of today’s cases are unlinked, the majority are household cases.

今天的三个病例没有联系,大多数是家庭病例。

Adding to the post below, Professor Shaun Hendy is at today’s press conference to talk through this modelling. So we’ll have more on this soon.

添加到下面的帖子中,Shaun Hendy 教授在今天的新闻发布会上讨论了这个模型。 所以我们很快就会有更多关于这个。

Modelling suggests 7000 deaths in a year even with 75 per cent of country jabbed

模型显示,即使 国家达到75% 的疫苗接种率,一年也有 7000 人死亡

New modelling prepared for the Government by Shaun Hendy suggests that New Zealand could see up to 7000 Covid-19 deaths a year even with a high proportion of the population jabbed.

Shaun Hendy 为政府准备的新模型表明,即使有很高比例的人接种疫苗,新西兰每年也可能有多达 7000 人死于 Covid-19。

The modelling from Te Punaha Matatini suggests that if 80 per cent of the 5+ population was fully vaccinated – around 75 per cent of the entire country – Covid-19 would still cause a serious death toll without other restrictions.

Te Punaha Matatini 的模型表明,如果 5 岁以上人口中有 80% 接种了疫苗——约占全国的 75%——没有其他限制的话,Covid-19 仍然会造成严重的死亡人数,。

Hendy projects it would cause 60,000 hospitalisations and 7000 deaths over a one-year period.

Hendy 预计它将在一年内导致 60,000 人住院和 7000 人死亡。

If 90 per cent of the 5+ population was reached however – around 85 per cent of the full population – then deaths would drop to around 50 over a year.

然而,如果达到 5 岁以上人口的 90%——大约总人口的 85%——那么一年内死亡人数将下降到 50 人左右。

This would make ending restrictions very difficult without very-high vaccination rates, should the Delta outbreak not be stamped out in Auckland.

如果Delta疫情没有在奥克兰被扑灭, 同时如果没有非常高的疫苗接种率,这将使结束封锁变得非常困难,


Mount Wellington has been added to the list of focus suburbs. There’s a new pop up testing site in the region.
惠灵顿山已被列入重点郊区名单。 该地区有一个新的随到随测站点。

10 per cent of the Clover Park population have been tested in the last two days. 60 per cent of the population in Clover Park have had at least one vaccination.

过去两天,Clover Park 人口的 10% 接受了检测。 Clover Park 60% 的人口至少接种过一次疫苗。


Generally, people travelling out of level 3 regularly for permitted activities need a test within the last 7 days. The information on the requirements for this travel will be updated today.
一般而言,经常要出 3 级以外进行允许活动的人员需要在过去 7 天内进行测试。 关于这次旅行的要求的信息将在今天更新。

THere are greater restrictions at the level 3 boundary this time, compared to last time.

与上次相比,这次的三级边界有更大的限制。

In upper Hauraki, every teacher and student at the affected school has been tested. All but one have returned negative results, one is still outstanding.
在上豪拉基,受影响学校的每位教师和学生都接受了测试。 除了一个都返回了阴性结果,一个仍然很出色。

The only positive test in this area is from the single household.
该地区唯一的阳性测试结果来自单身家庭。

The Section 70 order will be lifted for people outside of upper Hauraki who were covered by the restrictions.
对于受到限制的上豪拉基以外的人,第 70 条的命令将被取消。

Ardern said they’ve always used the best health and modelling advice to make decisions.
Ardern 说他们一直使用最好的健康和建模建议来做出决定。

As part of their preparation for the future, they’ve asked modellers to put together work they can share publicly. This was received yesterday, it hasn’t yet been peer-reviewed.
作为他们为未来做准备的一部分,他们要求建模者将他们可以公开分享的工作放在一起。 这是昨天收到的,还没有经过同行评审。

This is a contribution to a debate and a contribution to the work that must be done going forward.
这是对辩论的贡献,也是对未来必须完成的工作的贡献。

Now to Professor Shaun Hendy who is virtually at the press conference to talk through the modelling.

现在请 Shaun Hendy 教授,他实际上是在新闻发布会上谈论建模。

The report they released in June was at the same time Delta was spreading. This new modelling is an updated version.
他们在 6 月份发布的报告时刚好 Delta 正在传播。 这个新模型是一个更新版本。

It takes into account we’re on track to vaccinate 80 per cent of those over 12.
考虑到我们有望为 12 岁以上人群中的 80% 接种疫苗。

The rate of uptake suggests we could approach well over 90 per cent in the coming months.
目前的接种率表明,在未来几个月内,我们可能会接近 90% 以上。

Hendy emphasised this is just a modelling study. It’s incorporated the best data from overseas, but there are still many uncertainties.

Hendy 强调这只是一项建模研究。 它整合了海外最好的数据,但仍然存在很多不确定性。


The best outcome for vaccinating 90 per cent or more means herd immunity. Outbreaks could “fizzle out” on their own.
接种 90% 或更多疫苗的最佳结果意味着群体免疫。 爆发可能会自行“消失”。

If the R0 is kept below 1, that will be good for us.
如果 R0 保持在 1 以下,那将对我们有好处。

Because Delta is so transmissible, population immunity is probably out of reach by vaccination alone.
由于 Delta 的传染性很强,因此仅靠接种疫苗可能无法达到人群免疫力。

This modelling looked at using a suite of moderate public health measures – masks, rapid tests, ventilation etc.
该模型着眼于使用一套适度的公共卫生措施——口罩、快速检测、呼吸机等。

If 90 per cent of the 5+ population was reached – around 85 per cent of the full population – then deaths would drop to around 50 over a year.

如果达到 5 岁以上人口的 90%——约占总人口的 85%——那么一年内死亡人数将下降到 50 人左右。


If 80 per cent of the 5+ population was fully vaccinated – around 75 per cent of the entire country – Covid-19 would still cause a serious death toll without other restrictions.
如果 5 岁以上人口中有 80% 接种了疫苗——约占整个国家的 75%——Covid-19 仍然会在没有其他限制的情况下造成严重的死亡人数。

We’d still need lockdowns.
我们仍然需要封锁。

Hendy said there’s no “magic threshold” for vaccination coverage, but the higher coverage the fewer restrictions we’ll need in coming years.
亨迪说,疫苗接种覆盖率没有“神奇的门槛”,但覆盖率越高,未来几年我们需要的限制就越少。

“We need every community to be well covered by vaccination. For life to go back to normal, we really can’t leave anyone behind,” Hendy said.

“我们需要每个社区都得到很好的疫苗接种。为了让生活恢复正常,我们真的不能让任何人掉队,”亨迪说。


Back to Ardern.
回到阿登。

She said vaccinations matter the most and are a cause for hope.
她说疫苗接种最重要,是希望的所在。

At the beginning of Covid-19, lockdowns were used because no-one could risk being exposed to the virus. THey had to isolate everyone. Vaccines turn that model on its head, so everyone with Covid would be isolated as others have the protection of the vaccine.
在 Covid-19 开始时,使用了封锁措施,因为没有人可以避免接触到病毒危险。 他们不得不隔离每个人。 疫苗彻底改变了这种模式,因此每个感染 Covid 的人都会被隔离,因为其他人会受到疫苗的保护。

Vaccines alone aren’t enough, Ardern said.
Ardern 说,仅靠疫苗是不够的。

If we just relied on them, it could still lead to outbreaks and hospitalisations.

如果我们只是依赖它们,它仍然可能导致爆发和住院。


Delta is more transmissible and it’s “very good” at finding unvaccinated people. This could overwhelm the health system.
Delta 的传染性更强,它在寻找未接种疫苗的人方面“非常好”。 这可能会使卫生系统不堪重负。

Kids can’t be vaccinated so it will reach them. This has already happened in this outbreak.
儿童不能接种疫苗,因此疫苗会传染给他们。 这在这次疫情中已经发生了。

If our health systems are overwhelmed, we’ll all suffer.
如果我们的卫生系统不堪重负,我们都会受苦。

The way we have to use all available measures comes down to how many people are vaccinated.
我们必须使用所有可用措施的方式归结为有多少人接种了疫苗。

Very high levels means level 4 can be taken out of the tool box and set aside.

非常高的接种率意味着4级封锁 可以从工具箱中取出并放在一边。


But it all comes down to vaccination. Ardern said the more New Zealanders who get vaccinated, the more opportunities open up and the more freedoms we gain.
但这一切都归结为疫苗接种。 阿德恩说,接种疫苗的新西兰人越多,机会就越多,我们获得的自由也就越多。

We don’t have to live with Covid. We can stick with our plan of “zero tolerance” – we can vaccinate, isolate and control. There’s a reason for optimism, Ardern said.
我们不必与 Covid 共存。 我们可以坚持我们的“零容忍”计划——我们可以接种疫苗、隔离和控制。 Ardern 说,乐观是有原因的。

A vaccination framework means good vaccine coverage. They want to aggressively isolate cases that arise, control the impact through sustainable health measures, catch cases at the border, and ensure the health system is prepared.

疫苗接种框架意味着良好的疫苗覆盖率。 他们希望积极隔离出现的病例,通过可持续的卫生措施控制影响,在边境发现病例,并确保卫生系统做好准备。


This work will be shared soon.
这项工作将很快分享。

Ardern thanked New Zealanders for their efforts.
Ardern感谢新西兰人的努力。

Over the last 18 months we’ve had more days without restrictions than almost any other country.
在过去的 18 个月里,我们不受限制的天数几乎比任何其他国家/地区都多。

We have the opportunity to be one of the most vaccinated countries in the world.

我们有机会成为世界上接种疫苗最多的国家之一。


She said we need to work together to see all communities get vaccination rates up. We don’t want to leave anyone behind, because it just doesn’t feel right.
她说我们需要共同努力,让所有社区都提高疫苗接种率。 我们不想让任何人落后,因为这感觉不对。

The supplies are there and the workforce is ready to go. She encouraged people to help friends and family get to vaccination sites.
物资已经到位,劳动力已准备就绪。 她鼓励人们帮助朋友和家人前往疫苗接种点。

“Get vaccinated, it’s the reason we should all feel hopeful,” were Ardern’s closing words.
“接种疫苗,这就是我们都应该感到充满希望的原因,”是 Ardern 的结束语。

Now to questions.

现在来提问。


Our vaccination rate goal is “high”, Ardern simply said.
我们的疫苗接种率目标是“高”的,Ardern 简单地说。

The more vaccinations, the fewer restrictions we need. This will protect young kids and babies who can’t be vaccinated.
接种的疫苗越多,我们需要的限制就越少。 这将保护无法接种疫苗的幼儿和婴儿。

Modelling also suggests the higher the better.
建模也表明越高越好。

Bloomfield has earmarked 90 per cent +. She said that’s what we should be aiming for.
Bloomfield 已定出 90% 以上。 她说这就是我们应该追求的目标。

Today’s modelling shows what the future could look like with high vaccination rates.
今天的模型显示了高疫苗接种率的未来。

High vaccination rates will be the “golden ticket” for New Zealand, Ardern said.

阿德恩说,高疫苗接种率将成为新西兰的“金票”。


Vaccines can help reduce the restrictive measures we’ve had in place previously.
疫苗可以帮助减少我们之前采取的限制措施。

The decision on vaccinations for 5-11s, will be based on advice from experts. They will make an assessment of the data. It will be a health decision.
5-11 岁的疫苗接种决定将基于专家的建议。 他们将对数据进行评估。 这将是一个健康决定。

Bloomfield said the data is promising.
布卢姆菲尔德说,数据很有希望。

They’re also watching the data on vaccinations for under 5s.
他们也在关注 5 岁以下儿童接种疫苗的数据。

There have been 13 babies in this outbreak, and over 200 children under the age of 12.
此次疫情共有13名婴儿,200多名12岁以下的儿童的病例。

Hendy said they use a variety of models, and thought it perfectly valid to follow what’s happening overseas, but every country is different.

Hendy 说他们使用各种模型,并认为跟踪海外发生的事情是完全正确的,但每个国家都不同。


He said we’re looking at the long term and they’ll have to watch what happens in countries like Singapore and Denmark over the long term. It would be “really dangerous” to follow certain countries just in the short term.
他说,我们着眼于长远,他们将不得不观察新加坡和丹麦等国家的长期情况。 在短期内跟随某些国家将是“非常危险的”。

Employers will be having their own conversations with staff around vaccine mandates.
雇主将就疫苗规定与员工进行自己的对话。

Vaccine certificates are a live debate for the Government at the moment.
目前,政府正在进行疫苗证书的一场辩论。

90 per cent would mean less reliance on lockdowns. That’s a “big carrot” for many people in New Zealand, Hendy said.
90% 意味着减少对封锁的依赖。 Hendy 说,这对新西兰的许多人来说是一个“大胡萝卜”。

While he can’t speak for the Government, he thought that might remain on the table if there were thousands of deaths.

虽然他不能代表政府发言,但他认为如果有数千人死亡,这可能会留在谈判桌上。


So put to put it simply – 90 per cent means lockdowns aren’t likely.
简而言之——90% 意味着不太可能出现封锁。

The “traditional tools” are being used in Auckland at the moment because they don’t have high vaccination rates, Ardern said.
Ardern 说,目前奥克兰正在使用“传统工具”,因为疫苗接种率不高。

But in future, if vaccination rates are high enough, we can move away from the lockdown tool.
但在未来,如果疫苗接种率足够高,我们可以摆脱封锁工具。

Baseline restrictions, like level 2, could also be used to help manage and control Covid in the community in future. Restrictions at the border, in both directions, could also be used.

基线限制(如 2 级)也可用于在未来帮助管理和控制社区中的 Covid。 也可以在两个方向的边界使用限制。

If there’s a pocket of unvaccinated people, Delta will find it and there could be an outbreak.
如果有一小部分未接种疫苗的人,Delta会找到它,并且可能会爆发。

That’s why it’s important we have good vaccination rates across cities, ages and ethnicities.
这就是为什么我们在不同城市、年龄和种族之间拥有良好的疫苗接种率很重要。

Models are “imperfect beasts”, Ardern said. They provide principles for decisions to be based on.
阿德恩说,模型是“不完美的野兽”。 它们为决策提供了原则。

The principles are clear – vaccination matters.
原则很明确——疫苗接种很重要。

Ardern won’t accept a situation where we “shrug our shoulders” and accept there’ll be Covid-related deaths.
Ardern 不会接受我们“耸耸肩”并接受与 Covid 相关的死亡的情况。

If there’s an outbreak, they contact trace, isolate and test to try to stamp it out. Vaccines help with this job.
如果爆发,他们会联系追踪、隔离和测试,以试图将其消灭。 疫苗有助于这项工作。

Ardern said they will continue to “act aggressively” with Covid.

Ardern 表示,他们将继续对 Covid 采取“积极行动”。


If we can maintain a low level of cases, the contact tracing system could operate efficiently, provided it has been adapted.
如果我们能保持低水平的病例,接触者追踪系统就可以有效运行,前提是它已经过调整。

On ventilation, they’re looking at basic principles that can be shared to help make spaces as safe as possible.
在通风方面,他们正在研究可以共享的基本原则,以帮助使空间尽可能安全。

We can learn from other countries in this space. It will help workplaces and venues.
我们可以在这个领域向其他国家学习。 它将有助于工作场地和场所。

The vaccination rate is making a difference in this outbreak, Hendy said.
亨迪说,疫苗接种率在这次疫情中产生了影响。

Every country has experienced a point where they reach a certain rate and then it gets harder to grow.

每个国家都经历过接种率达到一定后,然后增长变得更加困难。


Auckland could reach 90 per cent in a couple of weeks or a month, Ardern said.
Ardern 说,奥克兰可能会在几周或一个月内达到 90%。

The Government needs to get creative to encourage vaccinations.
政府需要发挥创造力来鼓励接种疫苗。

Ardern said the goal is to get people vaccinated and we should be allowing people to get out and do that work.
Ardern 说,目标是让人们接种疫苗,我们应该允许人们出去从事这项工作。

They want to move away from lockdowns in the future. They were used previously because there wasn’t individual armour, there is now in the form of vaccines.
他们希望在未来摆脱封锁。 以前使用它们是因为没有单独的盔甲,现在以疫苗的形式出现。

Ardern sees the numbers in the modelling as a cause for hope. It shows we can have a model that couples vaccinations with public health measures to prevent high death rates and hospitalisations.

Ardern 将建模中的数字视为希望的原因。 它表明我们可以建立一个模型,将疫苗接种与公共卫生措施结合起来,以防止高死亡率和住院治疗。


Ardern reminded everyone she got modelling “much much worse” than this at the beginning of the pandemic.
Ardern 提醒所有人,在大流行开始时,她获得的模型“比这要糟糕得多”。

Ardern said some places that used vaccine certificates earlier generated higher vaccination uptakes and then eventually moved away from them. So they could be used as short term tools.
Ardern 说,一些较早使用疫苗证书的地方产生了更高的疫苗接种率,然后最终远离了它们。 因此它们可以用作短期工具。

Ultimately, they want people to get vaccinated because they’ve chosen to protect themselves and their community. That will be the main motivation used by the Government.
最终,他们希望人们接种疫苗,因为他们选择保护自己和社区。 这将是政府使用的主要动机。

Someone in Middlemore hospital was a contact of a case and was being monitored separately. Two visitors came, one was a contact of a case and should’ve been isolating. They have since tested negative.

米德尔莫尔医院的某个人是病例的接触者,正在接受单独监测。 来了两个访客,一个是病例接触者,应该隔离。 从那以后,他们的检测结果呈阴性。


Four staff and a few security guards at Middlemore Hospital have been stood down.
米德尔莫尔医院的四名工作人员和几名保安人员已被停职。

That’s it for today’s press conference.

以上就是今天的新闻发布会的内容。



 

(未完待续, 翻译中。。。)

(新闻发布会已结束。借助谷歌翻译,不顺之处请谅)



 

Almost 90 per cent more cars on Auckland roads on first day of level 3

三级警戒第一天,奥克兰道路上的汽车增加了近 90%

Auckland’s first day in alert level 3 saw 20,000 more cars on the road – an increase of almost 90 per cent.

奥克兰进入 3 级警报的第一天,道路上的汽车增加了 20,000 辆——增加了近 90%。

Contactless takeaways and retail can open under level 3 restrictions and construction can also resume alongside already-open essential services.

非接触式外卖和零售可以在 3 级限制下开放,建筑业也可以与已经开放的基本服务一起恢复。

Waka Kotahi NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) said the Auckland network “has been observed to be busier, generally with queueing at takeaway locations”.

Waka Kotahi NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) 表示,奥克兰的交通网络“被观察到更加繁忙,通常在外卖地点排队”。

Day one of alert level 3 saw an 88.6 per cent increase in light traffic and an 86.3 per cent increase in heavy traffic compared to the previous Wednesday when the city was in level 4.与上周三该市处于第 4 级时相比,第 3 级警报的第一天,轻交通量增加了 88.6%,交通拥堵增加了 86.3%。

 

Delta variant ‘outcompetes’ new Mu variant of interest, WHO says

世卫组织称,Delta 变体“胜过”感兴趣的新 Mu 变体

The Delta variant is “by far” the most transmissible variant in the world, outcompeting the newer Mu variant of interest, according to the World Health Organisation (WHO).

根据世界卫生组织 (WHO) 的说法,Delta 变体是“迄今为止”世界上最易传播的变体,在竞争中胜过了感兴趣的新 Mu 变体。

 



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